Data Sources
Our models and charts rely on data from a variety of publicly available datasets. These data providers depend on reliable and accurate reporting by national, state, and local governments. In many cases, the data reported by these governmental entities changes over time. This makes our jobs much more difficult as we have to account for some jurisdictions providing all necessary data on a daily basis, while other jurisdictions report less frequently or do not report some data at all. More and better data is necessary for high quality analysis and forecasts. If your state is showing incomplete data in our charts, ask your representatives to demand better reporting.
- COVID-19 Tracking Project - The single most important source of data for our models. This volunteer run project collects and distributes state-level data on cases, testing, hospitalizations, and deaths.
- Johns Hopkins University - County-level data on cases and deaths.
- New York Times - County-level data on cases and deaths.
- NYC Dept of Health - Borough-level data on cases, hospitalizations, and deaths.
- NYS Dept of Health - County-level data on cases and total tests.
- US Census - County-level data on populations.
- Google Mobility Data - While currently not used in our models, this data powers our mobility tracking charts.
- US Dept of HHS - Hopsital Capacity - After the CDC stopped collecting this data earlier in 2020, the HHS began collecting and hosting data reported by states of currently reported hospital bed capacity.
- COVID ActNow
- US Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey - Vaccine Hesitancy
Reference Downloads (comma separated values)
Our Forecasts (comma separated values)
- Forecasts published before October 1, 2021
- Forecast published on January 13, 2022
- Forecast published on January 11, 2022
- Forecast published on January 10, 2022
- Forecast published on January 04, 2022
- Forecast published on January 03, 2022
- Forecast published on December 30, 2021
- Forecast published on December 29, 2021
- Forecast published on December 27, 2021
- Forecast published on December 26, 2021
- Forecast published on December 24, 2021
- Forecast published on December 23, 2021
- Forecast published on December 22, 2021
- Forecast published on December 20, 2021
- Forecast published on December 18, 2021
- Forecast published on December 17, 2021
- Forecast published on December 16, 2021
- Forecast published on December 15, 2021
- Forecast published on December 14, 2021
- Forecast published on December 13, 2021
- Forecast published on December 11, 2021
- Forecast published on December 10, 2021
- Forecast published on December 09, 2021
- Forecast published on December 08, 2021
- Forecast published on December 07, 2021
- Forecast published on December 06, 2021
- Forecast published on December 03, 2021
- Forecast published on December 02, 2021
- Forecast published on December 01, 2021
- Forecast published on November 30, 2021
- Forecast published on November 29, 2021
- Forecast published on November 27, 2021
- Forecast published on November 15, 2021
- Forecast published on November 14, 2021
- Forecast published on November 12, 2021
- Forecast published on November 11, 2021
- Forecast published on November 09, 2021
- Forecast published on November 05, 2021
- Forecast published on October 30, 2021
- Forecast published on October 20, 2021
- Forecast published on October 15, 2021
- Forecast published on October 14, 2021
- Forecast published on October 13, 2021
- Forecast published on October 12, 2021
- Forecast published on October 08, 2021
- Forecast published on October 07, 2021
- Forecast published on October 06, 2021
- Forecast published on October 05, 2021
- Forecast published on October 04, 2021
- Forecast published on October 01, 2021